The 2012 Global Warfare
Symposium, held in Los Angeles, CA on November 15-16, focused heavily on
space-based ISR. More information on the speakers and content can be found in
the audio podcasts (http://www.afa.org/events/NatlSymp/2012/GWS2012_scripts.asp) in the Daily Report archives, and in upcoming
issues of Air Force Magazine. Below
is a recap of the remarks made by the many high-caliber speakers at this year’s
symposium.
DAY ONE
Space Superiority: And Enduring Source of
American Strength - Dr. Jamie Morin, Undersecretary of the Air Force
Dr. Morin kicked off the
symposium stressing the Air Force’s role as THE space force, with space focus
as a fundamental pillar of air superiority. Looking at our accomplishments over the past
century including the work in the private sector, Morin remarks that the
“advances of today stand on the shoulders of innovative engineers” and will
continue to with Airmen at the core. In the question and answer session he
mentioned that 20% of the FY13 Air Force investment budget is for space, and
that the cost of mission assurance is avoiding the cost of failure. “The best
way to avoid a space Pearl Harbor,” Morin says, “is to know it’s coming.”
Faster-Better-Cheaper, Transformation, COIN,
Pivoting, Rebalancing, etc. (How About a Longer View?) – Bran Ferren,
Co-Chairman, Applied Minds, LLC
Ferren took an unconventional,
high level, long range look at technology in his engaging talk. Using GPS as an
example of a program with a series of progressions starting with no interest to
one of our most valuable assets. That said, he advises the Air force to make
the commitment today to get off reliance on GPS in the next 10 years before
it’s used against us. “Innovation has never come out of requirement,” he
states, and we have a bad model currently of not rewarding success but
punishing failure. With more risks, the faster we move and the more we learn.
If the Air Force can focus on education and great thoughts within a “259 year
vision,” then we will “put the world on notice that America is not just a
soundbite nation”. Ferren suggested starting with fixing acquisition,
fundamentally changing ISR and creating survivable communications. Ferren got
mixed reviews from the audience, but he certainly shook things up.
The Asia Pivot in the Context of US Grand
Strategy – Dr. Adam Grissom, Senior Political Scientists, RAND Corp.
Dr. Grissom first described grand
strategy as an evolving idea made up of ends, ways and means, like the U.S.
Constitution. The golden era of American grand strategy for him was in the 40s
and 50s during the Truman and Eisenhower years, while the turning point is now.
Our previous approach, he suggests, is no longer sustainable, and our level of
deficit spending is no longer viable. The challenge he sees for the United
States is to start on a sustainable path, avoid the cycle of instability
leading to fiscal pressure and retrenchment. The USAF is central in addressing
this, and has played a role in the past. For Grissom, it’s about numbers: a
combat Air Force can be everywhere at
once.
Panel: The Challenge of ISR Across the
Extended Domain: Moderated by Lt Gen Ellen Pawlikowski, with John Celli of
Space Systems/Loral, Dr. Walter Scott of DigitalGlobe, and Kay Sears of
Intelsat General
In this industry panel, speakers
ended the day with offering advice for leveraging commercial industry to yield
affordable solutions to move forward. Cost-effective option are out there for
ISR, and the Air Force will have to get creative.
DAY TWO
Air Operations in Israel’s War Against
Hezbollah – Dr. Benjamin Lambeth, Senior Fellow, Center for Strategic and
Budgetary Assessments
Starting with a RAND Study in
2007 and a letter of support, Lambeth dove into Israel’s air offensive, the “rocket wars” and the move to ground
strength. Was the Lebanon campaign that much of a setback for Israel he asks?
The bottom line: even the most cable air weapon imaginable can never be more
effective than the strategy it is expected to support. The report can be found
here: www.rand.org/pubs/mongraphs/MG835.html
USAF Global Posture-- Dr. Stacie Pettyjohn,
Associate Political Scientist, RAND Corp.
Dr. Pettyjohn looked at the
extensive and global posture of the Air Force in terms of a posture triangle of
strategic anchors, support links and forward operating locations. Our
international basing options will depend on our close security partners, regime
type and access relationships with other nations. She predicts that emerging
partners will want a US presence, but on a less permanent basis, while periodic
or continuous rotation of forces will be a good fit for other partners.
Space Command Update – Gen William Shelton,
Commander Air Force Space Command
“There’s not anything we do in
the Air Force that doesn’t involve space and cyber” said General Shelton to
start. General Shelton continued with an overview of the current state of
satellites (aging), sustaining capabilities, and the future focus. For an information-focused
command going forward the Air Force will have to take advantage of the
nontraditional IRS collected on sensors and pods of aircrafts and study
possible alternatives for wideband communications with commercial services.
Air Force ISR –Lt Gen Larry James, DCS,
Intelligence, Surveillance, and Reconnaissance
General James looks to the
worldwide strategic focus across air, space and cyberspace with future
air-centric ISR. While efforts shift to the Pacific, James reminded us that
intelligence never left the Pacific, and will become less associated with a
platform. With an airborne perspective, the way ahead will include
non-traditional ISR on stealth platforms with the ability to do standoff
operations. With current crowd-sourcing, intelligence is already available via
twitter, facebook, and cameras on cell phones. He stressed the need for the
right information at the right time to the right person to make the right
decisions using our resources.
The Space Mission –Gwynne Shotwell, SpaceX
Shotwell introduced the audience
to SpaceX’s test and capabilities while framing the conversation with space
competition in the private sector for work with the USAF. By including SpaceX
and other competitors, the Air Force could increase launch capability by 50%,
along with increased buying capacity and power for mission assurance. The focus
in space will be getting data and intelligence to the warfighter.
America’s Secret Mig Squadron –Col Gaillard
“Gail” Peck, USAF (Ret,), Author and USAF Fighter Weapons School Instructor
Colonel Peck also spoke at the
2012 Air and Space Conference on this topic. His involvement with this formerly
secret project led to a book on the subject that goes into great detail on how
the USAF adapted and learned to fight Migs. Check out his book: http://www.amazon.com/dp/1849089760
State of the Air Force –Michael Donley,
Secretary of the Air Force
Secretary Donley concluded the
symposium with an emphasis on Asia Pacific and the Middle East with a smaller,
leaner, but agile, flexible and technologically-advanced force. He reinforced
the need for space-based ISR and reminded us that airpower is well suited to
meet the challenges of geography and distance.
During the awards dinner the
following were awarded:
Gen Bernard Schriever Fellowship
to Lt Gen Susan Helms
Gen Thomas D. White Space Award
to Lt Gen Ellen Palikowski
Michael Wilson Scholarships to
Cadets Daniel Myers and William Schimmel
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